Overview Of Our Growth Investment Strategies
Portfolio Managers First
We are portfolio managers using growth investment strategies designed for individual investors.
Unlike traditional brokerage firms where financial advisors fill a sales role by selling funds or stocks to fill in the various allocations (then tell clients to hold on for the long run), we center our process around adaptive and tactical investment strategies that are tailored to each individual client.
Our Investment Philosophy: Fact-Based Investing
We believe that any growth investment strategy should be adaptable to changing market cycles.
Our investment philosophy centers around our prevailing thought about how financial markets ‘really’ work: That is, that they’re self-contained entities that simply do what they want, vs. what the outside world says they should do!
Most advisors trade their clients’ assets based on fundamental concerns and risk (i.e., things happening in the world outside the markets: geopolitical events, business news and forecasts, World Bank/IMF activity, fiscal policy, Fed policy, government reports, investor-sentiment polls, etc.).
Concerns that are frequently never reflected in the markets for more than a day or two or, if they’re reflected at all, the follow-on questions of ‘Starting when?’ and ‘For how long?’, can’t be answered.
Advisors tend to also over-allocate client assets to academic-based methods; especially prominent among these is the heavy allocation of monies to certain asset classes, purely based on those asset classes’ historical performance (known as ‘strategic’ allocations) … even when those very asset classes haven’t done enough in recent time-frames to truly earn their way into current client portfolios at all.
Using Quantitative for Growth Investment Strategies
We, however, do things quite differently: We base our investment decisions on the probabilities that certain market scenarios either will or won’t unfold, purely via real-time analyses of mathematical data from inside the markets – the place where we can actually quantify a one-to-one cause and effect on investments.
Our growth investment strategies exploit market trends that occur over multiple time frames – weeks, months and years – with momentum as the biggest input in identifying not only ‘big’ market trends, but also the relative-strength winners among the different asset classes we use – stocks, bonds, commodities, etc. – to populate our clients’ portfolios.
We don’t ‘anticipate’ trends in markets or in individual asset classes; ultimately, those sorts of guesses are fraught with peril. On the contrary: We only latch-onto up or down trends when they actually come into being.
Our two-step strategy of no predictions + mathematical rule-sets for entering and exiting markets and assets works, far more often than it doesn’t – and that truism largely spares the advisor and investor the type of mental anguish that’s assured to be a constant companion with other, less-reliable methods.
Investment Strategy Objectives
Implementation of our investment strategy revolves around two primary objectives:
- Identify Bull and Bear market trends; and
- Identify high-performance investment portfolio candidates.
Here is our primary tool for identifying major trends, called the Bull-Bear Indicator:
The job of the Bull-Bear Indicator is to determine when a new Bull Market or a new Bear Market has emerged. Once again, this is a measurement of ‘what is’, with no predictions or academic theories involved.
Our goal is to be defensive and protected in Bear Markets and to be fully-invested during Bull Markets.
Riverbend’s second objective seeks to identify high-performance portfolio candidates:
Momentum, relative strength, rate-of-change, nearness-to-52-week-highs, and other measurements of performance characteristics, are all combined to produce rankings of portfolio candidates.
High-performers are selected, low-performers are discarded, and the whole process is repeated at regular intervals, usually quarterly. This process of continuous self-renewal is intended to capture the benefits of long-term winners, without being dragged down by the unnecessary inclusion of under-performing sectors.
Combining these two tools gives us a simple-yet-complete strategy, providing guidance on when to be defensive and when to be offensive and, when we are offensive, how to construct high-performance portfolios.
How to Get More Information
If you need some help with your investment portfolio, you can contact us here for more information: Request More Information
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Backtesting involves a hypothetical reconstruction, based on past market data, of what the performance of a particular account would have been had the adviser been managing the account using a particular investment strategy. Performance results presented do not represent actual trading using client assets but were achieved through the retroactive application of a model that was designed with the benefit of hindsight. Backtested performance results have inherent limitations, particularly the fact that these results do not represent actual trading and may not reflect the impact that material economic and market factors might have placed on the adviser’s decision-making if the adviser were actually managing the client’s money. These results should not be viewed as indicative of the adviser’s skill and do not reflect the performance results that were achieved by any particular client. During this period, the adviser was not providing advice using this model and clients’ results were materially different. The model that gave rise to these backtested performance results is one that the adviser is now using in managing clients’ accounts. Hypothetical performance returns are presented using Riverbend maximum annual fee of 2% net-of-fees (but do not account for fees that may be added by the custodian firm).